Soccer Betting » Bundesliga

Offshore Oscar’s picks May 23, 24 – Splashing on some Köln

Offshore Oscar — Fri, 22 May 2009 02:11:52 +0000

Last weekend was another somewhat disappointing one at the betting windows, but that was tempered by the fact that I found what looked like a quarter on the ground. It wasn’t, but how lucky is that anyway? Now I have a perfectly good washer for the next time I need one of that specific size.

The football season is winding down and good games are hard to find, but we’ve got some solid plays in spite of that, so do yourself a favor and play along.

Original bankroll: 1,000 units
Last time’s bankroll: 1,591.2 units

Last time:
1 – 50 units on Newcastle to win at 1.91 – Final 0-1 – LOSS
2 – 50 units on VL Bochum to win at 1.83 – Final 2-0 WIN
3 – 50 units on Deportivo to win at 1.80 – Final 1-1 LOSS

Profit/loss = (-58.5 units)
New bankroll: 1,532.7 units

This week’s Offshore Oscar plays:

1 – Let’s start out the final weekend of EPL action with a match that means absolutely nothing. Blackburn Rovers are safe from relegation and would like no more than to give their loyal home fans a win in their last match against West Brom, who had the wind taken out of their sails last week at Anfield.

50 units on Blackburn to win at 1.85 (so a win gets us back 92.5 units)

2 – Middlesbrough are really up against it, they need to win big and Newcastle and Hull City must lose. They will try hard but it is difficult seeing them winning with their recent form, especially at Upton Park. The Hammers have had a fine season under Gianfranco Zola and will play the visitors tough.

50 units on West Ham-Middlesbrough draw at 3.50 (so a draw gets us back 175 units)

3 – FC Koln have some confidence after winning at Hamburg last weekend and look to close out their season in style at home and complete the double against VL Bochum. Bochum did what they had to do last weekend and secured another season in the Bundesliga.

50 units on FC Koln to win at 1.91 (so a win gets us back 95.5 units)

Odds from willhill.com

Offshore Oscar’s picks May 16, 17 – Putting the fun back into the fundamentals

Offshore Oscar — Fri, 15 May 2009 03:14:41 +0000

Our two plays last weekend didn’t get us anywhere, but that’s why they call it gambling, except in Las Vegas where they call it “gaming” so it sounds like you had fun even when you inevitably lose. Whatever.

In the final weeks of the season we have a healthy profit guaranteed for anyone who’s been wisely following along, so take that, gambling conglomerates, Russian mobsters, and the Triads!

This weekend we are back to what has built our bankroll, namely solid favorites at square prices. Play along with us, won’t you?

Original bankroll: 1,000 units
Last time’s bankroll: 1,691.2 units

Last time:
1 – 50 units on Hull City to win at 2.10 – Final 1-2 – LOSS
2 – 50 units Bilbao-Betis draw at 3.10 – Final 1-0 LOSS

Profit/loss = (-100 units)
New bankroll: 1,591.2 units

This week’s Offshore Oscar plays:

1 – More relegation fun this weekend as Newcastle host Fulham. Kudos to the Cottagers for a fine season, but this match does not mean much to them, they are going to finish just outside the European bubble, and they only have two away wins. The Toon Army will be out in full force at Saint James Park in one last push to keep Newcastle in the EPL.

50 units on Newcastle to win at 1.91 (so a win gets us back 95.5 units)

2 – The VL Bochum fans have been all over us for not using them at all this season, now they get a shot at the title. VL Bochum sit just outside the relegation zone and are eyeing 6 points with a home match against Frankfurt and away at FC Koln. They were embarrassed 4-0 at Frankfurt and are looking for some payback.

50 units on VL Bochum to win at 1.83 (so a win gets us back 91.5 units)

3 – El Riazor has been good to us this season and we’ll go there one more time. Deportivo La Coruna have a small shot at Europe and should win handily this Saturday against visiting Getafe.

50 units on Deportivo to win at 1.80 (so a win gets us back 90 units)

Odds from willhill.com

Offshore Oscar’s picks April 25, 26 – Newcastle celebrates a future WAG

Offshore Oscar — Fri, 24 Apr 2009 02:33:27 +0000

We proved once again last week that it’s better to be lucky than good, and had another smashing weekend at the windows. Chris Hamburg helpfully pointed out in the comments that Berlin’s striker Voronin had been suspended for 3 games for kicking a ball at another guy, which got past us before we locked in the bet. Fortunately, the rest of them managed a Cinderella comeback win in spite of his absence, so we’ll take it. Cha-ching!

We split the other two bets, and are on cruise control again with a bulging account full of units. This weekend I couldn’t find anything worthwhile in the early matches, so I’ll have to amuse myself with scratch-off lottery tickets until the late games start. Ooh, this ticket has a Price is Right theme!

Let’s celebrate with this photo of Maxim covergirl and Newcastle supporter and future WAG Francoise Boufhal.

Original bankroll: 1,000 units
Last time’s bankroll: 1,468.2 units

Last time:
1 – 50 units on Sunderland to win at 1.85 – Final 1-0 – WIN
2 – 50-unit win parlay on Aston Villa at 1.67 into Birmingham City at 1.95 – Final 1-1 into 1-0 – LOSS
3 – 50 units Hertha Berlin to win at 2.50 – Final 2-1 WIN

Profit/loss = +67.5 units
New bankroll: 1,535.7 units

This week’s Offshore Oscar plays:

1 – In what should be a cracker of a match with possible Europe implications, Fiorentina host AS Roma. The Violets are only two points behind Genoa and could put all the pressure on them with a win. Genoa travels to relegation-threatened Bologna on Sunday. Roma, on the other hand, are three points behind Fiorentina and will look to complete the double versus them, winning 1-0 at Stadio Olympico in Rome. It’s Gilardino against Totti, and were looking for Alberto to come out on top.

50 units on Fiorentina to win at 2.37 (so a win gets us back 118.5 units)

2 – An interesting relegation match is on tap at Borussia Park on Sunday when Borussia Monchengladbach host Arminia Bielefeld. Borussia is in the relegation zone, one point behind the visitors. Look for BM to come out gunning with American Micheal Bradley and get into safety for at least one more week.

50 units on Borussia Monchengladbach to win at 1.83 (so a win gets us back 91.5 units)

3 – With a trip to Anfield looming next week, Newcastle United MUST secure all three points this Monday when they host Portsmouth. Newcastle in the Coca Cola Championship, does that sound right to you? Pompey are not out of the woods yet, with three teams separating them from relegation, so they will probably be defensive minded and go for the tie. Look for the hosts to be on the attack from the outset and get a much needed win.

50 units on Newcastle to win at 2.00 (so this win gets us back an even 100 units)

Odds from willhill.com

Offshore Oscar’s picks April 17,18 – Brummies gonna make us rich

Offshore Oscar — Fri, 17 Apr 2009 01:17:21 +0000

Friggin Napoli never got into gear, and the North London squads looked flat early last weekend, but those two came through big and we had another winning weekend.

This weekend we are going hog wild with our most units bet ever. The season is almost winding down, so it’s time to separate the compulsive gamblers from the gambling addicts. Will I get up to 2,000 units for the season? I wouldn’t want to bet against it, or maybe I would?

Original bankroll: 1,000 units
Last time’s bankroll: 1,439.2 units

Last time:
1 – 40-unit win parlay Arsenal at 1.70 into Tottenham at 1.75 – Final 1-4 into 1-0 – WIN
2 – 50 units on Napoli to win at 1.91 – Final 0-0 – LOSS

Profit/loss = +29 units
New bankroll: 1,468.2 units

This week’s Offshore Oscar plays:

1 – Sunderland thrashed Hull City 1-4 at KC Stadium last December and there is no reason why they can’t do the same thing at the Stadium of Light on Saturday. Having lost 4 in a row and 2 points out of relegation, the Black Cats should come out firing on all cylinders.

50 units on Sunderland to win at 1.85 (so a win gets us back 92.5 units)

2 – City of Birmingham parlay – Looks like a Champions League spot was just a pipe dream for the Villains, they have not won in their last 5 EPL matches. A UEFA(or whatever they call the new competition next season) spot looks safe, but 5th place does not, with the Toffees breathing down their neck, so they must clamp down at home Saturday against the visiting Hammers. What once was a sure promotion spot for Birmingham City is now in jeopardy and they MUST secure all three points in Northwest London at Vicarage Road to hold on to second place in the Coca Cola Championship.

50-unit win parlay on Aston Villa at 1.67 into Birmingham City at 1.95 (so if both win we get back 50 x 1.67 x 1.95 = 162.82 units)

3 – Hertha Berlin have lost three in a row in the Bundesliga after a short stint at the top. They host Werder Bremen on Sunday, who just advanced to the UEFA Cup semifinals in a hard fought match in Northern Italy. Hertha can still get a spot in Europe and Ukrainian Andriy Voronin should lead them to victory on Sunday, avenging their 5-1 loss last year in Bremen.

50 units Hertha Berlin to win at 2.50 (so a win gets us back 125 units)

Odds from willhill.com

Offshore Oscar’s picks Mar-7, 8 – Madrid Derby and soft drink action

Offshore Oscar — Fri, 06 Mar 2009 02:21:44 +0000

The next time I attempt a 4-team London parlay of favorites, I’d appreciate if someone would slap me around a bit to bring me back to reality. As usually happens, the first three did the job, and then the last one, Fulham in this case, couldn’t even manage a draw.

The week even started out bad, as some humiliating 911 calls I placed somehow made national news. Look, I’d like to see YOU pay for your beloved Chicken McNuggets and then sit back idly as they substitute a deluxe burger and won’t offer you a refund! It honestly felt like an emergency to me at the time.

Original bankroll: 1,000 units
Last time’s bankroll: 1,396.9 units

Last time:
1 – 40-unit win parley on Chelsea at 1.57 into Arsenal at 1.61 into Fulham at 1.70 into Tottenham at 1.70 – Final 3 wins, but Fulham lost – LOSS
2 – 40 units on Aston Villa to win at 2.62 – Final 2-0 – LOSS
Profit/loss = (-80 units)
New bankroll: 1,316.9 units

This week’s Offshore Oscar play’s:

1 – TSG Hoffenheim were cruising on the lead in the Bundesliga until striker Vedad Ibisevic was sidelined for the year. It still would have been a battle with him, but they have no shot without him and are falling back to reality, so they should finish about mid table. Werder Bremen had a season to forget about until their elimination of AC Milan in the UEFA Cup and gritty draw last week at home against Bayern Munich, They are playing with some confidence and look for them to come out flying at Hoffenheim on Saturday.

40 units on Werder Bremen to win at 2.40 (so a win gets us back 96 units)

2 – With only one EPL match this weekend, let’s see what is going on in the Coca-Cola Championship. Wolves have been in first place most of the season and they had a nice pick me up win at Crystal Palace on Tuesday, look for them to care of business when they travel to Sheffield to face the Owls on Saturday. One of the best rivalries in English football is the Birmingham derby, Birmingham City versus Aston Villa. Hopefully we’ll see it again next year, with the Blues sitting in second place in the Championship. They host an improving Southhampton side on Saturday, but should bag the three points.

40-unit win parlay on Birmingham City at 1.67 into Wolverhampton at 2.37 (so if both win we get back 40 x 1.67 x 2.37 = 158.3 units)

3 – The Madrid derby on Saturday should be a competitive struggle. Both Althletico and Real face uphill battles in their upcoming Champions League matches and might be thinking ahead.

40 units on a Real Madrid-Athletico Madrid draw at 3.40 (so a draw here gets us back 136 units)

Odds from willhill.com

Offshore Oscar’s picks Feb-28, Mar-1 – It’s payback time, dammit!

Offshore Oscar — Fri, 27 Feb 2009 04:43:19 +0000

As Radiohead famously sang, ‘Gravity always wins’ and it seems to apply to football betting as well, with our crazy lucky streak turning around in an instant. Our bankroll is still way in the black, but I barely remember what it feels like to win a bet. We are back to the fundamentals again, whatever that means, with solid plays all over Europe.

Original bankroll: 1,000 units
Last time’s bankroll: 1,500.9 units

Last time:
1 – 40 units Inter to win at 2.37 – Final 0-0 – LOSS
2 – 40-unit win parlay on Chelsea at 1.67 into Villareal at 1.53 – Final 1-0 into 1-1 – LOSS

Profit/loss = (-80 units)
New bankroll: 1,420.9 units

This week’s Offshore Oscar plays:

1 – East London is bracing for a nice lunchtime match on Sunday when Manchester City visits Upton Park to face West Ham. Both have had tough last two matches in the EPL. Man City had a nice home win on Thursday in the UEFA Cup, with Welshman Craig Bellamy scoring a brace, maybe they will be a little tired and Gianfranco Zola can motivate the Hammers to a victory.

40 units on West Ham to win at 2.40 (so a win gets us back 96 units)

2 – Hamburg are flying high after their wins against Leverkusen and NEC Nijmegen and they want to stay on top of the Bundesliga. Wolfsburg are also playing well, so this should be an excellent match, with Hamburg prevailing by a goal.

40 units Hamburg to win at 1.80 (so a win gets us back 72 units)

3 – Both Sampdoria and AC Milan were ousted from the UEFA cup on Thursday, so they can take their frustrations out on each other on Sunday at Stadio Luigi Ferraris. If the Rossoneri don’t win, Carlo Ancelotti could be out of a job, so expect them to be focused.

40 units AC Milan to win at 2.10 (so a victory gets us back 84 units)

Odds from willhill.com

Offshore Oscar’s picks Feb-14 and 15 – Italian and French WAGs special

Offshore Oscar — Fri, 13 Feb 2009 02:30:49 +0000

That USA win during the week seemed so easy that it’s amazing we more than doubled our money on that bet, but that was offset by my big bet that satellites would collide in orbit last week instead of this week. Where the hell were you when I needed you, disused Russian satellite Cosmos 2251?

And fans of WAGs photos (AKA straight men whose own W or G isn’t hovering over their shoulder) will be happy to “read” about Hot Italian women attached to footballers part two, and Hot French WAGs as well. Who wins the WAGs showdown?

Original bankroll: 1,000 units
Last time’s bankroll: 1,658.9 units

Last time:
1 – 40 units on USA to win at 2.05 – Final 2-0 – WIN

Profit/loss = +42 units
New bankroll: 1,700.9 units

This weekend’s Offshore Oscar plays:

1 – Deportivo had a long trip to Mallorca last week and were able to get a hard fought point. They should be able to get all three points at home against visiting Osasuna on Saturday.

50 units Deportivo La Coruna to win at 2.00 (so a win gets us back an even 100 units)

2 – Bundesliga North Rhine-Westphalia parlay. FC Koln are doing better than expected this year, sitting mid-table and have played well at home. Borussia Dortmund were blasted by Bayern last Sunday and they should find Energie Cottbus a lot easier.

40-unit win parlay FC Koln at 1.80 into Borussia Dortmund at 1.44 (so if both win we get back 40 x 1.80 x 1.44 = 103.6 units)

3 – Does Carlo Ancelotti believe that his AC Milan squad can pick up ANY points this Sunday after their dismal 1-1 draw against last place Reggina last week? First place Inter will be difficult to catch, regardless of this Sunday’s outcome. Milan defender Alessandro Nesta might return, they need him to go up against the two, big physical Inter strikers, Adriano and Ibrahimovic. Kaka is also questionable. Inter might have one eye on their upcoming Champions League match versus Manchester United on February 24, therefore allowing the Rossoneri to split the points with them.

30 units on the draw in the Milan Derby at 2.87 (so a draw gets us back 86.1 units)

Odds from willhill.com

Offshore Oscar’s picks Feb-7,8 – Spurs overmatched and it’s burger time

Offshore Oscar — Fri, 06 Feb 2009 03:39:15 +0000

This thing has gotten so easy that I keep waiting for Ashton Kutcher to burst through the doors and say that he’s secretly had all these teams all play according to my picks just to catch me congratulating myself too much. Whatever, Ashton, now go back to making unwatchable movies.

It was yet another weekend that went almost exactly according to plan, and now doubling my original bankroll seems realistic, if not imminent.

Original bankroll: 1,000 units
Last time’s bankroll: 1,564.45 units

Last time:
1 – 50 units on Fulham to win at 1.95 – Final 3-1 – WIN
2 – 40 units on Schalke to win at 2.30 – Final 1-0 – LOSS
3 – 30-unit win parlay Bilbao at 1.91 into Deportivo at 2.40 – Final 3-2 and 3-0 – WIN

Profit/loss = +115 units
New bankroll: 1,679.45 units

This weekend’s Offshore Oscar plays:

1 – Hamburg SV are sitting second in the Bundesliga standings with an eye on the top. They are flying high after their 1-0 victory over Bayern last week. Martin Jol should have his squad well prepared for the trip to Karlsruhe on Saturday.

50 units Hamburg to win at 1.91 (so a win gets us back 95.5 units)

2 – Arsene Wenger and the Gunners still have nightmares about their last meeting with Spurs, allowing two very late goals for a 4-4 draw. Now the action switches to White Hart Lane Sunday afternoon and North London will be buzzing. Robbie Keane is back with Spurs, and Arsenal welcome attacking midfielder Andrei Arshavin. If he plays, Arshavin should make a difference and help Arsenal get three points.

40 units Arsenal to win at 2.37 (so a win gets us back 94.8 units)

3 – It’s Italy parlay time on an action packed Sunday in Serie A. Roma seem to have everyone in sync and should take care of Genoa at Olympic Stadium. Palermo gave up a late goal last week and hopefully put in some practice time for the Sunday night match versus Napoli.

30-unit win parlay, Roma at 1.70 into Palermo at 1.95 (so if both win we get back 30 x 1.70 x 1.95 = 99.45 units)

Odds from willhill.com

Offshore Oscars picks Jan-31 and Feb-1 – EPL, Bundesliga, and La Liga locks

Offshore Oscar — Fri, 30 Jan 2009 03:43:52 +0000

If FIFA had raised the crossbars a bit (like I’ve suggested to them so many times!) before that Wigan-Liverpool match on Wednesday, I’d probably be moving to that palm-shaped island in Dubai already, but hitting the even-longer-shot Udinese over Juve more than made up for it. If I hadn’t lost that Texas high school basketball bet last week where I laid 102 points and that lazy team only won 100-0, I’d be even happier.

Original bankroll: 1,000 units
Last time’s bankroll: 1,483.2 units

Last time:
1 – 25 units Wigan to win at 4.60 – Final 1-1 – LOSS
2 – 25 units Udinese to win at 5.25 – Final 2-1 WIN

Profit/loss = +81.25 units
New bankroll: 1,564.45 units

This weekend’s Offshore Oscar plays:

1 – If you had a picture dictionary, the word “mess” would be accompanied by a photo of the current Portsmouth Football Club. Ever since losing Jermaine Defoe, they have been in a freefall, with Tony Adams making all the wrong moves. Fulham have been a different team at home and they should take advantage of out of form Pompey.

50 units on Fulham to win at 1.95 (so a win gets us back 97.5 units)

2 – The Bundesliga is back from winter break and the title race should go down to the wire. Schalke have a bad taste in their mouth from their last match at leaders TSG Hoffenheim, where two players were red carded in the 1-1 draw. Winning the league is a long-shot possibility, but Europe is within their reach, and they should come out strong at Hannover on Saturday.

40 units on Schalke to win at 2.30 (so a win gets us 92 units)

3 – Northern Spain parlay – Althletic Bilbao and Deportivo La Coruna are both coming off one-goal away losses. Maybe they can regroup and get victories at home.

30-unit win parlay Bilbao at 1.91 into Deportivo at 2.40 (so if both win we get back 30 x 1.91 x 2.40 = 137.5 units)

Odds from willhill.com

Offshore Oscar’s picks for November 21, 22, and 23

Offshore Oscar — Fri, 21 Nov 2008 00:29:54 +0000

Okay, so posting a photo of a ridiculously hot girl didn’t bring me any luck, and I lost both bets and am now back exactly where I started. For this weekend’s plays I went back to fundamentals, namely a set of voodoo dolls that look like some of the players, that I will be poking at key moments during the games. If this somehow fails, it’s back to hot-chick photos.

Original bankroll: 1,000 units
Current bankroll: 1,000 units

This weekend’s Offshore Oscar plays:

1 – The San Siro will be rocking this Saturday night when third place Juventus visits first place Inter. Both teams are in good form, especially reborn Juve striker Alex Del Piero. But I think Inter coach Jose Mourinho will have his defense ready and Inter will pull out a tight one-goal vicory.

40 units on Inter Milan to win at 2.00. (so a victory gets us back 80 units)

2 – Even though Althletico Madrid might be looking ahead to PSV on Wednesday, they should be able to get an easy three points in Numancia on Sunday.

40 units on Athletico to win at 2.00. (so a victory gets us back another 80 units)

3 – BUNDESLIGA three team SPECIAL. Borrusia Dortmund is still hoping for a European slot, Bayer Leverkusen wants to keep a hold of first place and Hamburg are tough at home.

20-unit parlay – Dortmund at 2.25 into Bayer Leverkusen at 1.66 into Hamburg at 2.37 (so when they all inevitably win we’ll get back 20 x 2.25 x 1.66 x 2.37 = 177 units)

Odds from willhill.com