Soccer Betting » FA Cup

Offshore Oscar’s picks May 30, 31 – Bombs away

Offshore Oscar — Fri, 29 May 2009 01:49:46 +0000

This is the last official weekend of the season for this series, but don’t be surprised if I pop up during the summer with some crazy plays or stories about that one time I got really drunk and wound up in a CIA holding cell for 3 months.

We’ve guaranteed a winning season, which aint easy, folks. In spite of our recent slide (including being totally wrong about the big game Wednesday), we have managed to stay profitable almost the whole season, and definitely at the end, when it really counts.

You might expect me to play it safe to try to preserve most of our profit, and that would be the sane thing to do. Instead, here are a couple longshot-ish plays for fun and profit.

Original bankroll: 1,000 units
Last time’s bankroll: 1,382.7 units

Last time:
1 – 50 units Barcelona-Manchester United draw at 3.20 – Final 2-0 – LOSS

Profit/loss = (-50 units)
New bankroll: 1,332.7 units

This week’s Offshore Oscar plays:

1 – FA Cup Upset special. In what should be a cracking FA Cup final, Chelsea and Everton square off at Wembley on Saturday afternoon. Under Gus Hiddink and David Moyes, both squads had fine seasons and made Europe next year. On paper Chelsea are stronger, but we’ll go with the Toffees for the upset. The trio of Fellaini, Osman and Cahill are clicking at the right time and if the Everton defense hold up, they can pull it off.

30 units on Everton to win at 5.50 (so a win gets us back 165 units)

2 – It’s the final weekend of La Liga in Spain and we’ll make a last ditch attempt to hit one of our “city” themed parlays. Real Betis aren’t out of the woods yet, sitting one point out of relegation. They should complete the double at home versus Valladolid. Sevilla FC need one more point to get an automatic Champions League spot and should fire from the opening kickoff at already relegated Numancia.

50-unit win parlay on Real Betis at 1.73 into Sevilla FC at 1.83 (so if both win we get back 50 x 1.73 x 1.83 = 158.3 units)

Odds from willhill.com

Offshore Oscar’s picks for January 24 and 25, 2009

Offshore Oscar — Fri, 23 Jan 2009 19:20:04 +0000

Aston Villa and Genoa each came through exactly as hoped, which more than made up for the Madrid parlay debacle. We are now so solidly into positive territory that FIFA is probably looking into the situation. At this rate it shouldn’t be long before football handicappers have their own WAGs who are featured in tabloid stories around the globe. Until then, I’ll have to keep making due with this stack of Penthouses that I picked up at a garage sale a few years back.

Original bankroll: 1,000 units
Current bankroll: 1,381.2 units

This weekend’s Offshore Oscar plays:

Betting on draws can be heartbreaking and also make matches hard to watch, so let’s string 3 of them together to see what happens.

1 – England is back to FA Cup action this weekend with two Premiership strugglers meeting in the Northeast. Sunderland-Blackburn should be a ho-hum match with both teams thinking more about how to stay out of the relegation zone.

30 units on a Sunderland-Blackburn draw at 3.30 (so a draw will get us back 99 units)

2 – Looks like the most competitive match in Serie A this weekend is in Naples, where the red-hot Blues host AS Roma. It should be a tight match and it could be a 1-1 tie, with Roma scoring early and Napoli getting a late equalizer.

30 units on a Napoli-Roma draw at 2.90 (so a draw gets us back 87 units)

3 – On to Spain and La Liga where Malaga hosts Althletico Madrid. Malaga absolutely crushed Espanyol, while Althletico drew at Almeria. Althletico coach Javier Aguirre is not a happy man so far in 2009 and he should have his team prepared for this match.

30 units on a Malaga-Althletico Madrid draw at 3.10 (so a draw gets us back 93 units)

Odds from willhill.com

Offshore Oscar’s picks for January 3, 2009

Offshore Oscar — Fri, 02 Jan 2009 19:50:09 +0000

Sunday was another big day for us, and we were only one goal away from another monster day. Our bankroll is now so full that we’ll be able to make some crazy plays with the books, like betting that Page 3 girl Keeley Hazel will be elected as an MP, or playing parlays in FA Cup games. We’ll save the MP bet for later, but in the meantime we’ll get on those parlays here.

Original bankroll: 1,000 units
Current bankroll: 1,333.2 units

This weekend’s Offshore Oscar plays:

It’s FA Cup weekend in the UK, so we’ll play a few parlays looking for value in the mismatches.

1 – QPR lost at home to Burnley in November and they don’t want to do it twice. Blackpool has a long way to travel to Torquay, but the Seasiders should pull out a win.

40-unit win parlay, QPR at 2.20 into Blackpool at 2.10 (so if both win we get back 40 x 2.20 x 2.10 = 184.8 units)

2 – Sheffield United and Derby County both travel to lower division teams and should win. If anyone is wondering, the Forest Green Rovers are based in Nailsworth, Gloucestershire.

40-unit win parlay, Sheffield United at 1.91 into Derby County at 1.73 (so if both win we’ll get back 40 x 1.91 x 1.73 = 132.2 units)

3 – La Liga is back after a short break and Valladolid had some time to think about the lead that they blew at Numancia. They should come out strong and take care of Racing Santander.

50 units on Valladolid to win at 1.95 (so a win gets us back 97.5 units)

Odds from willhill.com